Sabato's Crystal Ball site (highly recommended) has an excellent article on potential upset districts to watch during 2006 primaries, now underway, and in November.
2006 is shaping up to be a battle between redistricting (favoring incumbents) and anti-incumbent senitment as much as between Republicans and Democrats.
Sabato's Crystal Ball still sees Senate as rolling boulder uphill for Democratic majority. But, as more seats open, things become more unpredictable. Democrats need to win 6 seats in the Senate to take control. Gerrymandering is less important for Senate races however, and that is good news for some challengers especially if the anti-incumbents show up at the polls in unpredicted large numbers.
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