June 7, 2006

Economics will fuel anti-incumbency!

Fed Chairman Bernanke warned this week of a slowing economy. Fed Governor Poole warns inflation will continue through the slowing of the economy. This is raising great concerns on Wall Street as it hasn't been since the 1970's that Americans have had to be concerned a term coined back then called "Stagflation". Stagflation was a horrible period for Americans in which the economy remained stagnant failing to produce significant job growth, and failing to increase wages for Americans during a time when prices for daily living staples like food, gasoline and housing costs continued to rise eating up ever more of worker's paychecks. In other words, workers were getting poorer every year.

Many analysts on Wall Street are advising clients to get out of the stock markets until some clear sign on the future of staglfation is indicated. The reason is because the fear of stagflation is going to harm investors in highly volatile stock prices and very possibly a huge correction as much as 20%. Now is not the time for 401K investors to be in stocks, especially small caps, diversifieds, and growth stocks. Value and large cap stocks may fare better but in a market correction, all boats drop.

Bribery Rampant on Capitol Hill

The Washington Post reports: Privately Funded Travel Adds Up on Capitol Hill. "During past 5 1/2 years, lawmakers accepted nearly $50 million in trips from groups seeking legislative favors, according to a comprehensive study." Some of it was illegal, most of it was legal. This is the corruption that pervades our Capitol. The incumbents have legalized bribery of their votes allowing for an average of $10,280.37 per Congress Person in free trips and vacations sponsored by lobbyist interests.

This is just the tip of the ice berg, and excludes campaign contributions and other perks and bribes, legal and illegal.

CSM Now Calls for Iraq Pullout

The Christian Science Monitor (CSM) has written an article this week calling for the pull out of Iraq. Whether or not you believe we should pull out in an orderly way, it is significant that the CSM is changing its stance. This may portend the Iraq War playing heavily against incumbents in November's elections. To date, high profiled Christian publications have backed the war in Iraq. This marks a potentially significant change in a high profile Christian media position.

8 States Primaries Say Little of Anti-Incumbency

This week saw 8 states run primaries. While it would have been great news if all incumbents lost to challengers, the fact that this did not occur says little about November's elections. The reasons are simple, few voters vote in primaries and those who do tend to be party loyalists. Republicans and Democrats are makiing hay of the results, but, its all fluff and little substance at this point.

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