David Shribman wrote one of the most honest and politically neutral reviews of current political polls I have read in years in an article entitled: Public Disgust With Congress May Show in Elections. Here is a quote:
Right now (considering the Vermont independents as Democrats for the purpose of this conversation), the Republicans have a 29-seat bulge in the House and a 10-seat bulge in the Senate. That is, to be sure, a fair amount of ground to make up. But it's not out of the question that we could look back in the fall and say that the groundwork for revolution on Capitol Hill had been prepared by the spring.
Mr. Shribman also makes a crucial point about the polls:
We don't know one other important element of this calculus as well. We don't know whether the feeling is broadly anti-incumbent or broadly anti-Republican. There is some overlap, of course, as the Republicans control Congress and thus are more likely to be incumbents than are Democrats. Though 40 percent have a favorable opinion of the GOP -- not an impressive figure, and in fact the lowest favorability marks for the party in more than a dozen years -- the favorability marks for the Democrats (47 percent) aren't exactly ringing the bells at the Netherlands Carillon across the Potomac either.
This is an article worth reading for its honest non-partisan view of the polls.
Listed below are links to blogs that reference this entry: Level Headed View of 2006 Polls.
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d.a.n said at :
10:11 AM, 07 02 2006 | Permalink
Voters have forgotten the one simple thing they were supposed to be doing all along.
Just vote out irresponsible incumbents, always.
Why should any irresponsible incumbent be re-elected ?
Can anyone name 10, 20, 50, 100, or even 268 (half of 535) in Congress that are responsible?
I can't, and after asking this question since last year, no one else can either. No one has ever provided more than one or two names, and their voting records show them to be irresponsible too.
Most (if not all) resist reforms (such as campaign finance reform).
Most (if not all) vote for pork-barrel (while our troops risk life and limb).
Most (if not all) are FOR SALE.
Most (if not all) look the other way.
Voters have forgotten what it is they are supposed to be doing.
They gripe and complain about corrupt, FOR SALE, irresponsible government, but they keep re-electing the very same irresponsible incumbent politicians that use and abuse everyone.
If voters don't know who to vote for, they'd be better to vote for a non-incumbent.
When in doubt,
Vote 'em out.
Stop Repeat Offenders.
Don't Re-elect Them !
d.a.n | July 2, 2006 10:11 AM
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Stephanie said at :
2:29 PM, 07 06 2006 | Permalink
"Statistics: The only science that enables different experts using the same figures to draw different conclusions."
--Evan Esar
I agree that the value of these polls is often debatable, especially since those who use polls to make their points are often debating diametrically opposed positions "successfully" (at least in their own minds).
However, one particular quote stood out to me, because it concerns those matters which I've been devoting a lot of thought:
"We don't know whether the public is furious or just merely fed up."
In my opinion, the American public has every reason to be furious. Whether you like or dislike Bush isn't the point. Whether you like or dislike your current representative isn't the point. The question (imo) should be: Do you like the direction this nation is heading? To me this question has nothing to do with red state/blue state, GOP/DNC, or any other "political" spectrum equation you can come up with. The question is much larger and weightier than that.
Is America improving? Are we even maintaining our position? In my opinion the answers are a resounding "NO!" for both questions. The sad part is that chances are not likely that we, the American voting public, will change this in 2006. Even if incumbents are ousted, flip-flopping between Republicans and Democrats every decade or so isn't going to help.
Americans need to send the message that we will not tolerate this blundering, floundering vision our representatives have for this nation any longer. Partisan politics do NOT help. Bickering over minutiae while both sets of "representatives" have their hands on the handle intent on flushing our nation down the global toilet does NOT help. Letting the greedy and the power-hungry amongst us control the fate of our nation by making it serve their, and only their, interests does NOT help. Yet, that is exactly what we, the American voting public, continues to do time and again.
"...A potential blue shift" won't help us. What we desperately need is a furious anti-incumbent shift and we need to stick to it until we obtain the change America so desperately needs...before it's too late.
Stephanie | July 6, 2006 2:29 PM
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d.a.n said at :
6:49 PM, 07 10 2006 | Permalink
Stephanie,
I agree a Blue Shift won't help much, since both just take turns using and abusing everyone.
It is difficult for me to quantify the well-deserved disgust I have for most (if not all) do-nothing, bought-and-paid-for, irresponsible, corrupt, greedy, incumbent politicians of all parties.
The only thing equally (or more) pathetic is the lazy, complacent, ignorant, brainwashed electorate that keeps re-electing them. I can say that since I used to be one of them.
d.a.n | July 10, 2006 6:49 PM
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David R. Remer said at :
7:38 AM, 07 11 2006 | Permalink
Stephanie said: "Whether you like or dislike your current representative isn't the point. The question (imo) should be: Do you like the direction this nation is heading?"
That is truly the question voters should have utmost in their mind when entering the polling booth this year. And if the answer is no, the only rational vote is one that unseats an incumbent who has either been 1) ineffective in bringing about change and reform for the better, or 2) a defender of the system in Congress that creates more problems and deficits than it solves.
David R. Remer | July 11, 2006 7:38 AM
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